Aragua FC vs Deportivo Lara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.2%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.7%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
10.9%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
27.2%
51.5%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
15.4%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
-1
26%
0-2
10.9%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
15.7%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.8%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aragua FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
GVA
0 - 1
ARA
28%
28%
44%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
ARA
0 - 1
DEP
24%
28%
48%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2021 |
CAR
2 - 0
ARA
40%
28%
32%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2021 |
YAR
0 - 2
ARA
34%
29%
37%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2021 |
ARA
1 - 1
APC
35%
29%
36%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Deportivo Lara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2021 |
LAR
2 - 1
CAR
64%
22%
14%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2021 |
YAR
1 - 3
LAR
20%
27%
53%
|
70 | 55 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2021 |
GVA
0 - 5
LAR
20%
26%
54%
|
69 | 53 | 16 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 2021 |
LAR
2 - 2
DEP
45%
27%
28%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2021 |
APC
1 - 3
LAR
36%
28%
36%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | +1 |