Aragua FC vs Deportivo Lara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.1%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.1%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
32.1%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aragua FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
EST
1 - 0
ARA
37%
29%
34%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
ARA
0 - 2
ZUL
59%
23%
17%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | -2 |
| 07 Apr. 2016 |
ANZ
2 - 2
ARA
60%
23%
17%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
ARA
2 - 2
CAR
42%
26%
31%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2016 |
TRU
1 - 1
ARA
54%
26%
20%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Deportivo Lara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
LAR
1 - 1
CFC
41%
28%
31%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
LLA
1 - 0
LAR
24%
27%
49%
|
63 | 52 | 11 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2016 |
LAR
1 - 3
MIN
46%
27%
27%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
TAC
0 - 0
LAR
63%
21%
15%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
LAR
4 - 1
ESC
63%
22%
15%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | 0 |