Aragua FC vs Deportivo Lara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.5%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.4%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.7%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
39.3%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.5%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aragua FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2014 |
DEP
2 - 1
ARA
50%
28%
22%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
ARA
2 - 1
ZAM
24%
28%
48%
|
58 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2014 |
CAR
1 - 0
ARA
51%
27%
22%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2014 |
CFC
5 - 0
ARA
66%
22%
12%
|
59 | 70 | 11 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
ARA
4 - 1
GVA
67%
20%
13%
|
60 | 50 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Deportivo Lara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2014 |
LAR
3 - 1
MIN
33%
28%
39%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
MET
1 - 1
LAR
25%
28%
47%
|
64 | 52 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
LAR
0 - 0
TRU
46%
27%
27%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
LAR
2 - 2
POL
78%
14%
7%
|
64 | 47 | 17 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2014 |
EST
1 - 1
LAR
31%
27%
41%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | 0 |