Aragua FC vs Deportivo Lara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.2%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.8%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.2%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
50.9%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
13.1%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
10%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.5%
0-3
5%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.1%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aragua FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2012 |
ARA
1 - 0
TUC
57%
25%
18%
|
64 | 52 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2012 |
ZUL
1 - 3
ARA
48%
25%
27%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
ARA
1 - 0
TAC
35%
29%
36%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
ATL
2 - 1
ARA
41%
26%
34%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
YAR
1 - 0
ARA
40%
27%
34%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Deportivo Lara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2012 |
DEP
0 - 0
LAR
28%
25%
47%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
LAR
2 - 1
MON
71%
18%
11%
|
74 | 61 | 13 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
ZAM
1 - 3
LAR
43%
25%
33%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
LAR
2 - 1
MIR
53%
24%
24%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | +1 |
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
LAR
3 - 1
TAC
65%
21%
14%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |