Aragua FC vs Deportivo Lara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.6%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.2%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.7%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19%
29.6%
Draw
0-0
12%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.6%
40.8%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
14.1%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
23.4%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
11.7%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aragua FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2010 |
ARA
0 - 1
ZUL
28%
27%
45%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2010 |
ATL
0 - 0
ARA
51%
24%
26%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2010 |
ZAM
1 - 2
ARA
64%
21%
15%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | +1 |
| 16 May. 2010 |
ARA
2 - 4
ZUL
30%
26%
45%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 May. 2010 |
ZAM
2 - 3
ARA
65%
20%
15%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Deportivo Lara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2010 |
MIR
1 - 2
LAR
50%
26%
23%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2010 |
SFE
4 - 0
LAR
63%
21%
16%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | -1 |
| 22 Aug. 2010 |
LAR
1 - 3
DEP
66%
22%
13%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2010 |
LAR
2 - 0
SFE
36%
26%
38%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | +2 |
| 08 Aug. 2010 |
LAR
0 - 1
ZUL
50%
25%
26%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | -1 |