Aragua FC vs La Guaira analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.3%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.1%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.7%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
44.6%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.8%
0-2
8%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.4%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aragua FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2018 |
ATL
1 - 2
ARA
39%
26%
35%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
LAR
2 - 0
ARA
64%
21%
15%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2018 |
ARA
0 - 1
MON
36%
28%
36%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
CAR
0 - 0
ARA
45%
26%
29%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2018 |
ARA
0 - 0
ESC
60%
23%
17%
|
64 | 51 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
La Guaira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2018 |
DEP
1 - 1
ANZ
61%
22%
17%
|
69 | 57 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2018 |
EST
1 - 2
DEP
35%
26%
39%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
DEP
2 - 2
TRU
55%
24%
21%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2018 |
POR
1 - 2
DEP
19%
22%
59%
|
68 | 56 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
DEP
2 - 1
ATL
56%
24%
20%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | 0 |