Aragua FC vs La Guaira analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.1%
2-0
5%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.2%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18.1%
28.8%
Draw
0-0
11.3%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.8%
43.2%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
14%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
-1
23.9%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
12.6%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aragua FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
POR
2 - 2
ARA
30%
29%
41%
|
61 | 52 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
CFC
1 - 0
ARA
63%
23%
15%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
LLA
1 - 1
ARA
33%
29%
38%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2016 |
ARA
0 - 0
URE
64%
21%
15%
|
62 | 52 | 10 | -1 |
| 02 Dec. 2015 |
DEP
2 - 0
ARA
64%
23%
13%
|
62 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
La Guaira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
DEP
0 - 0
CFC
50%
27%
22%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2016 |
LLA
1 - 1
DEP
19%
27%
54%
|
73 | 55 | 18 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2016 |
DEP
2 - 1
MIN
59%
25%
17%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | +1 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
DEP
1 - 0
ZAM
42%
28%
30%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2015 |
ZAM
2 - 0
DEP
52%
25%
23%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | -1 |