Aragua FC vs La Guaira analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.5%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
22.8%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aragua FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2014 |
ZAM
2 - 0
ARA
70%
19%
11%
|
59 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
ZUL
3 - 0
ARA
46%
26%
28%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
ARA
2 - 3
CFC
29%
25%
46%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
CAR
1 - 0
ARA
43%
27%
30%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
ARA
3 - 0
LLA
53%
24%
23%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
La Guaira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2014 |
DEP
2 - 0
ZUL
33%
27%
41%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
CFC
4 - 1
DEP
73%
18%
9%
|
56 | 73 | 17 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
DEP
0 - 2
CAR
33%
27%
41%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
LLA
1 - 1
DEP
47%
25%
28%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
DEP
0 - 0
TRU
27%
27%
46%
|
56 | 67 | 11 | +1 |