Aragua FC vs Deportivo JBL del Zulia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.3%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.4%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
11%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
17.3%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aragua FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2016 |
ANZ
2 - 2
ARA
60%
23%
17%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
ARA
2 - 2
CAR
42%
26%
31%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2016 |
TRU
1 - 1
ARA
54%
26%
20%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
MIR
0 - 1
ARA
20%
29%
51%
|
61 | 52 | 9 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2016 |
ARA
0 - 0
MON
54%
25%
21%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | -2 |
Matches
Deportivo JBL del Zulia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2016 |
ZUL
2 - 1
CFC
28%
30%
42%
|
55 | 70 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
LLA
1 - 0
ZUL
39%
26%
35%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2016 |
TAC
1 - 0
ZUL
76%
17%
8%
|
57 | 73 | 16 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
ZUL
0 - 1
MIN
33%
29%
38%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
ZUL
2 - 2
ESC
47%
27%
26%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | -1 |