Venezuelan Cup Semi-finals
Global 3-2
Aragua FC vs Dep. Anzoátegui analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.5%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
28.8%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aragua FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2018 |
ANZ
0 - 0
ARA
32%
26%
42%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
ARA
1 - 2
DEP
29%
26%
45%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2018 |
ATL
1 - 2
ARA
39%
26%
35%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
LAR
2 - 0
ARA
64%
21%
15%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2018 |
ARA
0 - 1
MON
36%
28%
36%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Dep. Anzoátegui
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2018 |
ANZ
0 - 0
ARA
32%
26%
42%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
ANZ
1 - 0
CAR
25%
25%
50%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 2018 |
DEP
1 - 1
ANZ
61%
22%
17%
|
57 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
ESC
3 - 2
ANZ
26%
26%
48%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2018 |
ANZ
1 - 1
ATL
36%
26%
38%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |