Aragua FC vs Dep. Anzoátegui analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.7%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.1%
2-0
7%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.8%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
21.8%
30.3%
Draw
0-0
12.7%
1-1
13.5%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
30.3%
34%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
12.9%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aragua FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2012 |
TRU
2 - 1
ARA
47%
26%
27%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
ARA
0 - 0
EST
53%
26%
22%
|
64 | 54 | 10 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
DEP
1 - 1
ARA
42%
27%
32%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
ARA
0 - 0
CAR
46%
27%
27%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
MIN
2 - 2
ARA
62%
22%
16%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Dep. Anzoátegui
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2012 |
ANZ
6 - 1
TUC
76%
16%
8%
|
68 | 48 | 20 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2012 |
CFC
0 - 0
ANZ
57%
24%
19%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
ATL
1 - 0
ANZ
31%
28%
41%
|
69 | 55 | 14 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
ANZ
2 - 1
TAC
63%
21%
15%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
ZUL
1 - 0
ANZ
38%
27%
35%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | 0 |