Aragua FC vs Caracas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.4%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
4%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.6%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16%
28.6%
Draw
0-0
11.9%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
28.6%
48%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
15.6%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
25.6%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
14.3%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aragua FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2020 |
TAC
1 - 1
ARA
69%
20%
11%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2020 |
ARA
3 - 2
MON
35%
30%
35%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2020 |
GVA
0 - 2
ARA
20%
28%
53%
|
63 | 45 | 18 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 2020 |
POR
1 - 2
ARA
34%
30%
36%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2020 |
ARA
0 - 1
MET
39%
30%
31%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Caracas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 2020 |
MET
2 - 1
CFC
28%
28%
45%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2020 |
CFC
0 - 0
TAC
49%
27%
24%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2020 |
MON
1 - 2
CFC
34%
27%
39%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2020 |
CFC
6 - 2
GVA
82%
14%
4%
|
74 | 45 | 29 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2020 |
ZAM
1 - 3
CFC
47%
27%
26%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | +1 |