Venezuelan Cup Last 16
Global 3-0
Aragua FC vs Caracas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8%
1-0
8%
2-1
7%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.4%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
45.5%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.8%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.7%
0-3
4%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aragua FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2018 |
ARA
0 - 0
ANZ
50%
25%
25%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2018 |
CFC
0 - 2
ARA
59%
23%
18%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | +2 |
| 26 Aug. 2018 |
MIN
1 - 0
ARA
70%
18%
12%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | -1 |
| 22 Aug. 2018 |
ARA
0 - 0
APC
50%
25%
25%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2018 |
ARA
2 - 0
ATL
32%
26%
42%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Caracas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2018 |
CFC
3 - 0
MET
58%
23%
19%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2018 |
CFC
0 - 2
ARA
59%
23%
18%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | -2 |
| 25 Aug. 2018 |
ANZ
1 - 2
CFC
23%
24%
54%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | +1 |
| 22 Aug. 2018 |
CFC
0 - 0
MIN
41%
26%
34%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2018 |
APC
2 - 0
CFC
18%
22%
60%
|
66 | 53 | 13 | -1 |