Aragua FC vs Caracas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.1%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.5%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
31.4%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aragua FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jul. 2016 |
ARA
4 - 1
LLA
56%
23%
21%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2016 |
ANZ
6 - 0
ARA
57%
24%
20%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | -3 |
| 18 May. 2016 |
ARA
1 - 1
ANZ
42%
27%
31%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 May. 2016 |
TAC
2 - 2
ARA
61%
23%
16%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2016 |
ARA
1 - 0
TAC
31%
27%
42%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Caracas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jul. 2016 |
CFC
1 - 1
POR
67%
20%
13%
|
63 | 53 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2016 |
ZAM
2 - 0
CFC
62%
22%
15%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | -3 |
| 19 May. 2016 |
CFC
0 - 2
ZAM
43%
26%
31%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | -2 |
| 15 May. 2016 |
DEP
0 - 1
CFC
47%
28%
25%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2016 |
CFC
2 - 1
DEP
46%
27%
27%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | +1 |