Aragua FC vs Caracas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.3%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.9%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
33.9%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aragua FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
MIN
1 - 2
ARA
61%
23%
16%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
ARA
2 - 1
MET
69%
18%
13%
|
62 | 52 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2015 |
TAC
3 - 1
ARA
57%
24%
19%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
TRU
1 - 1
ARA
57%
25%
18%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
POR
0 - 2
ARA
22%
29%
49%
|
62 | 46 | 16 | +1 |
Matches
Caracas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
CFC
1 - 1
MIN
54%
24%
23%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2015 |
MET
0 - 1
CFC
20%
22%
58%
|
69 | 52 | 17 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
CFC
2 - 1
TRU
51%
24%
25%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | +1 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
EST
1 - 2
CFC
26%
26%
48%
|
68 | 56 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
TAC
1 - 1
CFC
48%
26%
25%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |