Aragua FC vs Carabobo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.4%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.2%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
24.3%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aragua FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
ANZ
3 - 2
ARA
60%
23%
17%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2015 |
ARA
3 - 0
TUC
63%
21%
16%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
ZUL
2 - 1
ARA
35%
27%
37%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
ARA
2 - 2
EST
60%
22%
18%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
LAR
2 - 1
ARA
53%
25%
23%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Carabobo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
CAR
0 - 2
CFC
28%
28%
44%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
CAR
1 - 2
DEP
35%
28%
37%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
ZUL
1 - 0
CAR
29%
25%
46%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
CAR
1 - 1
TAC
29%
27%
44%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2015 |
POR
0 - 1
CAR
19%
23%
58%
|
61 | 46 | 15 | +1 |