Aragua FC vs Caroní FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.4%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.5%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.6%
2-0
15%
3-1
6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22%
1-0
14.8%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
18.9%
9.6%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aragua FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2011 |
ZUL
0 - 4
ARA
47%
25%
29%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2011 |
ARA
1 - 0
ATL
41%
27%
32%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2011 |
LAR
1 - 0
ARA
52%
23%
25%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2011 |
ARA
0 - 1
ZAM
38%
28%
34%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 Dec. 2010 |
ARA
3 - 1
EST
43%
29%
28%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Caroní FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2011 |
MON
4 - 0
CAR
72%
17%
10%
|
44 | 59 | 15 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2011 |
CAR
0 - 0
ATL
39%
25%
36%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2011 |
CFC
2 - 2
CAR
81%
14%
6%
|
43 | 72 | 29 | +1 |
| 16 Jan. 2011 |
CAR
1 - 3
CAR
25%
24%
51%
|
44 | 60 | 16 | -1 |
| 12 Dec. 2010 |
ZUL
4 - 0
CAR
77%
16%
7%
|
44 | 63 | 19 | 0 |