Aracruz vs Volta Redonda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.3%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.3%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
24.1%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aracruz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jul. 2012 |
ARA
1 - 1
FRI
45%
26%
30%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2012 |
NEC
0 - 0
ARA
50%
24%
26%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2012 |
ARA
4 - 1
BOT
43%
24%
33%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
BOT
2 - 1
ARA
43%
24%
33%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
ARA
1 - 1
VIT
47%
25%
28%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Volta Redonda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jul. 2012 |
VOL
0 - 0
GUA
53%
24%
23%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2012 |
VOL
0 - 1
NEC
52%
25%
24%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Jul. 2012 |
FRI
1 - 0
VOL
46%
27%
27%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
MAC
0 - 1
VOL
58%
22%
20%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 2012 |
VOL
1 - 1
RES
37%
25%
38%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | 0 |