Aracruz vs Resende analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.8%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.6%
1-0
9%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.3%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
40%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.8%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aracruz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jul. 2013 |
NOV
0 - 1
ARA
50%
25%
25%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2013 |
ARA
3 - 2
ARA
30%
26%
45%
|
48 | 36 | 12 | -1 |
| 01 Jun. 2013 |
ARA
3 - 5
TUP
44%
27%
29%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | -2 |
| 19 May. 2013 |
ARA
1 - 2
DES
45%
25%
30%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | -2 |
| 12 May. 2013 |
DES
1 - 1
ARA
46%
24%
30%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Resende
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jul. 2013 |
RES
1 - 0
ARA
74%
17%
9%
|
54 | 38 | 16 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2013 |
RES
1 - 0
TUP
52%
25%
24%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2013 |
NOV
1 - 0
RES
31%
27%
42%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | -1 |
| 23 May. 2013 |
CRZ
4 - 0
RES
83%
13%
5%
|
57 | 83 | 26 | -2 |
| 02 May. 2013 |
RES
1 - 2
CRZ
13%
21%
66%
|
58 | 83 | 25 | -1 |