Aracruz vs Nova Iguaçu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.5%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.4%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
24.6%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aracruz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 2013 |
ARA
0 - 0
RES
34%
26%
40%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2013 |
NOV
0 - 1
ARA
50%
25%
25%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Jul. 2013 |
ARA
3 - 2
ARA
30%
26%
45%
|
48 | 36 | 12 | -1 |
| 01 Jun. 2013 |
ARA
3 - 5
TUP
44%
27%
29%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | -2 |
| 19 May. 2013 |
ARA
1 - 2
DES
45%
25%
30%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | -2 |
Matches
Nova Iguaçu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 2013 |
TUP
2 - 1
NOV
55%
25%
20%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2013 |
NOV
0 - 1
ARA
50%
25%
25%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2013 |
NOV
1 - 0
RES
31%
27%
42%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2013 |
ARA
0 - 1
NOV
35%
26%
39%
|
48 | 39 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
OLA
2 - 1
NOV
41%
28%
32%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | -2 |