Aracaju vs Maruinense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.2%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.7%
1-0
5%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.9%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.1%
41.7%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
12.5%
0-3
3%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+89%
-58%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aracaju
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2024 |
MAR
0 - 3
ARA
60%
19%
20%
|
10 | 16 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2024 |
ARA
2 - 1
ROS
24%
21%
55%
|
9 | 14 | 5 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 2024 |
SOC
1 - 3
ARA
44%
22%
34%
|
8 | 10 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
ARA
0 - 1
SEF
21%
19%
60%
|
8 | 13 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
ARA
0 - 3
ROS
13%
17%
70%
|
9 | 19 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Maruinense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2024 |
MAR
0 - 2
SEF
36%
22%
43%
|
14 | 15 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
SEF
1 - 0
MAR
40%
22%
38%
|
14 | 15 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2024 |
MAR
0 - 3
ARA
60%
19%
20%
|
16 | 10 | 6 | -2 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
ROS
2 - 1
MAR
30%
21%
49%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
MAR
0 - 0
SOC
69%
17%
14%
|
17 | 9 | 8 | -1 |