Árabe Unido vs Atl. Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19%
1-0
15.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.5%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
23.6%
15.4%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Árabe Unido
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
AMA
0 - 0
ARA
36%
30%
34%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
CHE
1 - 0
ARA
40%
29%
32%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | -1 |
| 16 Jan. 2016 |
SFF
2 - 0
ARA
40%
29%
31%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2015 |
ARA
1 - 1
CHO
55%
26%
20%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 2015 |
ARA
2 - 0
AMA
54%
26%
20%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Atl. Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
NAC
1 - 0
CHO
34%
29%
37%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
TAU
0 - 1
NAC
58%
25%
17%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | +1 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
AMA
0 - 0
NAC
57%
25%
18%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | +1 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
SFF
2 - 2
NAC
61%
24%
15%
|
55 | 66 | 11 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
CHI
2 - 2
NAC
46%
27%
27%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | 0 |