Árabe Unido vs Independiente Chorrera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.1%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.7%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.4%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.1%
28%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28%
40.9%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.7%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.9%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+17%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
10
1º
12º
11º
24
1º
9º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
31 | 31 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
29 | 29 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
28 | 28 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
26 | 26 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
25 | 25 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
24 | 24 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
23 | 23 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
21 | 21 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
20 | 20 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
16 | 16 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
10 | 10 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
9 | 9 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Árabe Unido
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
AZU
3 - 0
ARA
47%
27%
27%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
ARA
0 - 2
CHO
43%
28%
29%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
UME
0 - 0
ARA
29%
28%
43%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
SUN
3 - 2
ARA
23%
28%
49%
|
72 | 59 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
ARA
0 - 0
SFF
45%
29%
26%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Independiente Chorrera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
TAU
1 - 0
IND
41%
27%
32%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
IND
0 - 1
COS
50%
25%
25%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2024 |
IND
0 - 1
AMA
49%
25%
25%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
IND
5 - 1
AFC
47%
26%
27%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | +2 |
| 05 Mar. 2024 |
SMI
1 - 0
IND
46%
25%
29%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | -1 |