Árabe Unido vs Independiente Chorrera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.5%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.8%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.2%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
10.2%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.8%
45.8%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
13.6%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.6%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
23
7º
12º
7º
37
1º
8º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
37 | 37 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
32 | 32 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
28 | 31 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
25 | 26 |
4º
|
65% | |
|
5º
|
24 | 25 |
5º
|
47% | |
|
6º
|
23 | 23 |
6º
|
71% | |
|
|
7º
|
23 | 23 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
21 | 21 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
19 | 19 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
16 | 16 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
11 | 11 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
3 | 3 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 100% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Árabe Unido
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
SFF
0 - 2
ARA
39%
29%
32%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
ARA
2 - 1
CHI
59%
25%
17%
|
65 | 53 | 12 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
ARA
1 - 0
UME
53%
27%
20%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
CHO
0 - 0
ARA
44%
28%
28%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
AZU
2 - 0
ARA
48%
28%
24%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Independiente Chorrera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
AMA
2 - 1
IND
37%
27%
36%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
IND
1 - 1
AFC
59%
24%
17%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
IND
2 - 1
SMI
49%
26%
25%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
TAU
3 - 3
IND
37%
28%
35%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
IND
3 - 1
COS
60%
23%
17%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |