Árabe Unido vs Independiente Chorrera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5.9%
2-0
10%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
14.4%
1-0
14.9%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
25.2%
28.1%
Draw
0-0
11.2%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.1%
23.9%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Árabe Unido
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2014 |
ARA
1 - 0
CHE
60%
25%
15%
|
68 | 57 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
ARA
1 - 1
AFC
55%
26%
19%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
TAU
0 - 1
ARA
44%
28%
28%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
ARA
2 - 1
SMI
48%
28%
24%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
SFF
0 - 1
ARA
45%
28%
28%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Independiente Chorrera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2014 |
TAU
3 - 0
IND
49%
27%
24%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
IND
0 - 1
SMI
50%
26%
24%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
SFF
0 - 1
IND
48%
27%
25%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
IND
0 - 1
AMA
47%
28%
25%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
RIO
2 - 1
IND
36%
28%
36%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | -1 |