Árabe Unido vs Alianza FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.2%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5.9%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
15.2%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.4%
28.2%
Draw
0-0
11.4%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
28.2%
23.6%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16%
0-2
4%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Árabe Unido
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2021 |
SMI
1 - 2
ARA
36%
28%
35%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2021 |
ARA
1 - 2
AMA
41%
30%
29%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2021 |
ARA
1 - 0
AFC
45%
29%
26%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2021 |
TAU
1 - 1
ARA
46%
28%
26%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
ARA
1 - 1
COS
40%
29%
30%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Alianza FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 2021 |
TAU
1 - 0
AFC
51%
28%
21%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2021 |
AFC
0 - 0
TAU
33%
28%
39%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2021 |
IND
1 - 3
AFC
55%
26%
19%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 2021 |
AMA
3 - 1
AFC
46%
30%
24%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 2021 |
AFC
0 - 1
TAU
33%
28%
39%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |