Árabe Unido vs Alianza FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.1%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.6%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.8%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.2%
14.7%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Árabe Unido
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2017 |
TAU
0 - 0
ARA
42%
28%
30%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2017 |
ARA
3 - 2
CHO
57%
25%
19%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2017 |
NAC
0 - 2
ARA
26%
27%
48%
|
68 | 57 | 11 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2017 |
ARA
0 - 1
AMA
48%
28%
25%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
SMI
1 - 1
ARA
36%
27%
36%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Alianza FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2017 |
AFC
1 - 0
GEM
44%
28%
28%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2017 |
AFC
1 - 0
TAU
30%
27%
43%
|
59 | 70 | 11 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
CHO
1 - 3
AFC
57%
26%
17%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
AFC
0 - 1
NAC
55%
24%
21%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 2017 |
AMA
2 - 1
AFC
63%
24%
13%
|
60 | 72 | 12 | -1 |