Árabe Unido vs Alianza FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.6%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.6%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.9%
2-0
14.1%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
16%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.8%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
22.5%
12.9%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Árabe Unido
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
ARA
2 - 1
CHO
55%
26%
20%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
TAU
1 - 1
ARA
35%
30%
35%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2015 |
ARA
8 - 1
CHI
59%
24%
17%
|
71 | 58 | 13 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2015 |
ARA
0 - 1
DCU
35%
27%
38%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2015 |
SMI
1 - 2
ARA
43%
28%
30%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Alianza FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
AMA
2 - 1
AFC
54%
25%
20%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2015 |
AFC
1 - 0
SFF
39%
27%
35%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | +1 |
| 23 Aug. 2015 |
CHE
2 - 0
AFC
48%
27%
25%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | -1 |
| 16 Aug. 2015 |
AFC
2 - 4
NAC
68%
20%
12%
|
62 | 50 | 12 | -1 |
| 09 Aug. 2015 |
AFC
3 - 1
CHO
43%
27%
31%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | +1 |