Árabe Unido vs Alianza FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.2%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
16.1%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.8%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
10.2%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
25.1%
16.6%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
4%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Árabe Unido
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2015 |
ARA
1 - 0
SMI
51%
27%
22%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2015 |
AMA
1 - 2
ARA
45%
28%
28%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2015 |
ARA
2 - 0
SFF
40%
28%
32%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2015 |
CHI
0 - 2
ARA
27%
30%
44%
|
67 | 57 | 10 | +1 |
| 07 Feb. 2015 |
ARA
0 - 1
CHE
55%
26%
19%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Alianza FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2015 |
CHO
2 - 1
AFC
58%
24%
17%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2015 |
AFC
0 - 1
IND
62%
22%
16%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 2015 |
TAU
0 - 4
AFC
56%
26%
18%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2015 |
SMI
0 - 0
AFC
62%
22%
16%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
AFC
2 - 3
AMA
40%
28%
32%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | 0 |