Árabe Unido vs Alianza FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.6%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.8%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
24.4%
18.1%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Árabe Unido
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
SFF
1 - 1
ARA
44%
28%
28%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
ARA
0 - 2
CHO
59%
25%
17%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
CHE
0 - 1
ARA
35%
29%
36%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
RIO
0 - 1
ARA
37%
30%
34%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
ARA
3 - 1
TAU
51%
26%
24%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Alianza FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
AFC
3 - 0
TAU
36%
26%
38%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
SFF
1 - 1
AFC
57%
24%
19%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
AFC
0 - 0
CHI
53%
24%
23%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2013 |
AFC
1 - 0
CHO
42%
27%
31%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
AFC
0 - 0
SMI
41%
27%
32%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | 0 |