Árabe Unido vs Alianza FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.6%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.9%
2-0
14.6%
3-1
6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.5%
1-0
14.7%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
19.8%
10.6%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Árabe Unido
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2010 |
ARA
1 - 0
TOR
47%
24%
29%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2010 |
ARA
1 - 0
CHE
65%
21%
13%
|
73 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2010 |
AMA
2 - 3
ARA
28%
27%
45%
|
72 | 59 | 13 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 2010 |
RSL
2 - 1
ARA
57%
23%
21%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 2010 |
SMI
2 - 2
ARA
37%
27%
36%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Alianza FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2010 |
AFC
1 - 2
SFF
34%
27%
40%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2010 |
AFC
1 - 1
AMA
46%
25%
29%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Aug. 2010 |
CHI
0 - 0
AFC
66%
20%
13%
|
57 | 69 | 12 | +1 |
| 08 Aug. 2010 |
AMA
1 - 0
AFC
48%
25%
27%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Aug. 2010 |
AFC
1 - 0
CHE
41%
26%
33%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | +1 |