Árabe Unido vs Alianza FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.3%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.1%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.9%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.5%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.1%
10.6%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Árabe Unido
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2010 |
SMI
2 - 3
ARA
41%
27%
33%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2010 |
ARA
1 - 0
CHO
60%
24%
17%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2010 |
CHI
2 - 1
ARA
43%
27%
30%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2010 |
ARA
1 - 0
AMA
69%
19%
12%
|
71 | 58 | 13 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 2010 |
TAU
2 - 3
ARA
49%
26%
25%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Alianza FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2010 |
AFC
3 - 1
VER
53%
23%
24%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2010 |
AFC
2 - 0
SMI
34%
27%
39%
|
55 | 65 | 10 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 2010 |
CHO
0 - 2
AFC
72%
18%
10%
|
53 | 69 | 16 | +2 |
| 25 Mar. 2010 |
AFC
0 - 2
CHI
23%
23%
54%
|
54 | 68 | 14 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2010 |
AMA
1 - 1
AFC
58%
23%
19%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | 0 |