Apucarana Sport vs Nacional PR analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.9%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.5%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
19.9%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+52%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Apucarana Sport
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2024 |
APU
2 - 0
GEM
25%
25%
50%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
PAR
3 - 0
APU
74%
18%
9%
|
32 | 51 | 19 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
IGU
1 - 2
APU
43%
23%
34%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Jun. 2023 |
LEC
2 - 0
APU
18%
20%
62%
|
33 | 19 | 14 | -2 |
| 17 Jun. 2023 |
CAB
4 - 0
APU
36%
24%
40%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | -2 |
Matches
Nacional PR
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2024 |
NPR
2 - 2
FOZ
19%
22%
59%
|
20 | 36 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
NPR
1 - 1
LEC
45%
22%
33%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
PAR
1 - 0
NPR
78%
15%
7%
|
20 | 51 | 31 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
AEC
3 - 1
NPR
28%
21%
51%
|
21 | 17 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2021 |
NPR
1 - 3
CEU
26%
22%
52%
|
22 | 36 | 14 | -1 |