Aprilia vs Vis Artena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.1%
Win probability
2.54
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.3%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
7.1%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.9%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.7%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
17.6%
17.3%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
10.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aprilia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Dec. 2018 |
SSC
1 - 0
APR
43%
23%
34%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2018 |
APR
4 - 2
CAS
75%
15%
10%
|
36 | 26 | 10 | +1 |
| 12 Dec. 2018 |
MON
0 - 1
APR
48%
23%
29%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2018 |
APR
1 - 0
ULD
48%
24%
28%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
FLA
2 - 1
APR
33%
26%
41%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Vis Artena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Dec. 2018 |
VIS
2 - 3
SFF
37%
22%
41%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2018 |
CAS
1 - 4
VIS
31%
22%
47%
|
29 | 25 | 4 | +2 |
| 16 Dec. 2018 |
VIS
1 - 2
MON
44%
23%
33%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 Dec. 2018 |
ULD
1 - 1
VIS
52%
23%
26%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2018 |
VIS
2 - 1
FLA
43%
22%
35%
|
29 | 32 | 3 | +1 |