Aprilia vs Vigor Lamezia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.1%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.9%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
25%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aprilia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
TER
0 - 1
APR
69%
18%
13%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
APR
1 - 1
FON
77%
16%
8%
|
27 | 16 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
CAM
3 - 1
APR
35%
27%
39%
|
28 | 23 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
APR
0 - 0
BOR
49%
23%
27%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
APR
0 - 1
ASD
58%
22%
20%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | -2 |
Matches
Vigor Lamezia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
VIG
0 - 1
FOL
38%
26%
36%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
VIG
3 - 1
RAA
70%
20%
10%
|
30 | 18 | 12 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
SAL
3 - 0
VIG
82%
13%
5%
|
31 | 51 | 20 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
VIG
0 - 1
USP
43%
26%
31%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
MAR
0 - 0
VIG
56%
23%
21%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | +1 |