Aprilia vs US Vibonese Calcio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.4%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.4%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.8%
17.8%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+76%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aprilia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2011 |
FCC
1 - 5
APR
38%
24%
38%
|
18 | 15 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
APR
0 - 0
FAN
53%
23%
24%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
MIL
0 - 0
APR
71%
18%
11%
|
19 | 34 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2011 |
APR
0 - 2
CAM
44%
25%
31%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | -2 |
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
GIU
1 - 0
APR
55%
23%
22%
|
23 | 28 | 5 | -2 |
Matches
US Vibonese Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2011 |
USV
0 - 0
VIG
28%
27%
45%
|
17 | 23 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
PAG
2 - 1
USV
80%
16%
5%
|
18 | 45 | 27 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
USV
1 - 1
ASM
31%
27%
41%
|
18 | 24 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2011 |
LAQ
1 - 0
USV
72%
18%
10%
|
19 | 30 | 11 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
USV
0 - 3
FON
41%
26%
34%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | -2 |