Aprilia vs US Tortolì Calcio 1953 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84.3%
Win probability
3.26
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.4%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.9%
6-0
2.9%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.2%
5-0
5.4%
6-1
2.3%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.1%
4-0
8.3%
5-1
4.2%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13.5%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
6.5%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.5%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.9%
10.1%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
4.5%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
10.1%
5.5%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
4.1%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aprilia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2017 |
ULD
1 - 1
APR
32%
24%
44%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2017 |
APR
4 - 2
SSC
40%
22%
39%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | +2 |
| 05 Nov. 2017 |
LAT
1 - 2
APR
74%
18%
8%
|
32 | 58 | 26 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 2017 |
APR
2 - 3
RIE
16%
22%
62%
|
33 | 49 | 16 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2017 |
OST
0 - 1
APR
65%
21%
15%
|
32 | 40 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
US Tortolì Calcio 1953
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2017 |
UST
3 - 0
ANZ
22%
20%
58%
|
17 | 24 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2017 |
SAN
0 - 2
UST
63%
19%
18%
|
16 | 20 | 4 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2017 |
UST
0 - 5
SFF
9%
15%
77%
|
17 | 40 | 23 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2017 |
FLA
3 - 2
UST
72%
16%
12%
|
18 | 26 | 8 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2017 |
UST
0 - 1
ALB
8%
14%
78%
|
18 | 42 | 24 | 0 |