Aprilia vs SS Manfredonia Calcio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.3%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.4%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.5%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
36.8%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aprilia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
BIS
0 - 0
APR
77%
15%
8%
|
27 | 42 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2015 |
APR
0 - 2
POM
33%
26%
41%
|
29 | 36 | 7 | -2 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
FON
4 - 2
APR
74%
15%
10%
|
30 | 39 | 9 | -1 |
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
APR
3 - 2
SER
66%
18%
16%
|
30 | 22 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
FRA
0 - 0
APR
75%
15%
9%
|
30 | 41 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
SS Manfredonia Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
SSM
1 - 0
NAR
46%
25%
30%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2015 |
TUR
2 - 0
SSM
59%
23%
18%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
SSM
1 - 4
SSE
47%
24%
29%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | -2 |
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
TOR
2 - 2
SSM
52%
22%
26%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
SSM
5 - 2
ACI
60%
22%
18%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | +1 |