Aprilia vs Fiuggi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.6%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.4%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.9%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
37.1%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aprilia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2018 |
LRO
1 - 1
APR
53%
24%
24%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2017 |
ALB
1 - 1
APR
72%
18%
11%
|
35 | 45 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2017 |
APR
4 - 2
SAN
83%
11%
6%
|
34 | 20 | 14 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2017 |
FLA
1 - 1
APR
30%
26%
45%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2017 |
APR
2 - 1
UST
84%
10%
6%
|
35 | 19 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Fiuggi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2018 |
SFF
6 - 0
ANZ
87%
9%
4%
|
39 | 20 | 19 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2017 |
SAN
1 - 1
SFF
9%
15%
76%
|
39 | 20 | 19 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2017 |
SFF
3 - 2
LRO
58%
23%
20%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2017 |
ALB
6 - 3
SFF
52%
24%
25%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | -2 |
| 26 Nov. 2017 |
SFF
2 - 1
ULD
80%
13%
7%
|
41 | 28 | 13 | 0 |