Aprilia vs Real Agro Aversa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.4%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.1%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
22%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22%
18.5%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aprilia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
PRG
2 - 0
APR
71%
19%
11%
|
28 | 43 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2012 |
FAN
1 - 1
APR
37%
25%
39%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
APR
3 - 0
PAG
32%
26%
42%
|
24 | 37 | 13 | +4 |
| 15 Feb. 2012 |
USV
2 - 0
APR
29%
25%
46%
|
26 | 20 | 6 | -2 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
APR
3 - 1
FCC
67%
19%
15%
|
26 | 20 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Real Agro Aversa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
RAA
2 - 2
ASM
58%
23%
19%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
FCC
1 - 0
RAA
63%
23%
14%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 2012 |
RAA
0 - 1
NEA
59%
22%
19%
|
29 | 22 | 7 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
RAA
2 - 1
CAM
66%
21%
13%
|
28 | 20 | 8 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
FCC
0 - 1
RAA
37%
28%
36%
|
28 | 21 | 7 | 0 |