Aprilia vs Serpentara Bellegra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.9%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.7%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.8%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.4%
15.7%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
10.2%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aprilia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
FRA
0 - 0
APR
75%
15%
9%
|
31 | 43 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
APR
1 - 0
TAR
11%
20%
68%
|
26 | 49 | 23 | +5 |
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
REA
3 - 1
APR
74%
17%
10%
|
27 | 40 | 13 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
APR
1 - 2
NAR
25%
26%
49%
|
27 | 41 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
RPO
2 - 1
APR
74%
15%
11%
|
28 | 38 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Serpentara Bellegra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
SER
1 - 1
NAR
19%
22%
59%
|
22 | 42 | 20 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
TUR
2 - 2
SER
82%
12%
6%
|
22 | 43 | 21 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
SER
1 - 2
SSE
20%
21%
59%
|
22 | 38 | 16 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
TOR
2 - 0
SER
80%
12%
8%
|
23 | 36 | 13 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
SER
1 - 1
ACI
29%
24%
46%
|
22 | 33 | 11 | +1 |