Aprilia vs San Teodoro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.7%
Win probability
3.17
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.6%
6-0
2.6%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.7%
5-0
4.9%
6-1
2.1%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.5%
4-0
7.8%
5-1
4%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.8%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
6.4%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.1%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.6%
10.9%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
4.8%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
10.9%
6.4%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
4.6%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aprilia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2017 |
FLA
1 - 1
APR
30%
26%
45%
|
36 | 27 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2017 |
APR
2 - 1
UST
84%
10%
6%
|
36 | 21 | 15 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2017 |
ULD
1 - 1
APR
32%
24%
44%
|
36 | 29 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2017 |
APR
4 - 2
SSC
40%
22%
39%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | +2 |
| 05 Nov. 2017 |
LAT
1 - 2
APR
74%
18%
8%
|
33 | 60 | 27 | +1 |
Matches
San Teodoro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2017 |
SAN
1 - 1
LRO
14%
19%
67%
|
21 | 38 | 17 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2017 |
SAN
2 - 2
FLA
25%
22%
54%
|
21 | 28 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2017 |
ALB
5 - 0
SAN
87%
9%
4%
|
21 | 44 | 23 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2017 |
SAN
0 - 2
UST
63%
19%
18%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2017 |
ULD
4 - 2
SAN
61%
20%
19%
|
22 | 27 | 5 | 0 |