Aprilia vs Salernitana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.4%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
4%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.7%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.1%
63%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
0-1
13.6%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.7%
0-2
12.5%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.5%
0-3
7.7%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
10.8%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.7%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aprilia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
USP
1 - 2
APR
48%
25%
27%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
APR
1 - 0
VIG
49%
26%
25%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
TER
0 - 1
APR
69%
18%
13%
|
28 | 36 | 8 | +2 |
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
APR
1 - 1
FON
77%
16%
8%
|
28 | 17 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
CAM
3 - 1
APR
35%
27%
39%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | -2 |
Matches
Salernitana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
SAL
1 - 1
PON
71%
18%
12%
|
52 | 42 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
CAM
1 - 0
SAL
12%
21%
67%
|
52 | 28 | 24 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
SAL
1 - 1
ASD
82%
13%
5%
|
52 | 32 | 20 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
BOR
0 - 0
SAL
14%
21%
65%
|
52 | 32 | 20 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
SAL
3 - 0
VIG
82%
13%
5%
|
52 | 32 | 20 | 0 |