Aprilia vs Rieti analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.2%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.8%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.2%
22%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22%
61.8%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
0-1
12.6%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.2%
0-2
11.7%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.1%
0-3
7.3%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
10.6%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
4.6%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aprilia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2017 |
OST
0 - 1
APR
65%
21%
15%
|
32 | 40 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2017 |
APR
1 - 0
NUO
41%
24%
34%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | +2 |
| 15 Oct. 2017 |
BUD
0 - 0
APR
36%
26%
39%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2017 |
APR
3 - 2
TRA
28%
23%
50%
|
27 | 40 | 13 | +3 |
| 04 Oct. 2017 |
APR
2 - 2
OST
28%
24%
48%
|
26 | 39 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Rieti
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2017 |
RIE
1 - 0
ANZ
82%
12%
6%
|
49 | 24 | 25 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2017 |
SAN
1 - 3
RIE
10%
19%
71%
|
49 | 23 | 26 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2017 |
RIE
2 - 2
SFF
71%
18%
12%
|
49 | 38 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2017 |
FLA
0 - 4
RIE
13%
22%
65%
|
48 | 31 | 17 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 2017 |
MON
1 - 1
RIE
26%
23%
51%
|
48 | 41 | 7 | 0 |