Aprilia vs Pontedera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.8%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.1%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.2%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
36.9%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aprilia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
SAL
3 - 0
APR
78%
14%
8%
|
34 | 50 | 16 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2012 |
LEC
5 - 1
APR
90%
7%
2%
|
35 | 78 | 43 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
APR
1 - 0
USP
55%
22%
24%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
VIG
0 - 0
APR
34%
25%
41%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
APR
3 - 0
TER
40%
24%
36%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | +2 |
Matches
Pontedera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
PON
1 - 0
BOR
70%
19%
11%
|
39 | 24 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
PON
2 - 2
SAL
20%
24%
56%
|
39 | 51 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
ARZ
1 - 3
PON
20%
23%
57%
|
38 | 22 | 16 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
PON
0 - 0
USP
60%
22%
17%
|
39 | 31 | 8 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
TER
0 - 1
PON
52%
23%
25%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | +1 |