Aprilia vs Perugia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.4%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.4%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.6%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
57.7%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
13.5%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.6%
0-2
11.4%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.9%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9.1%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-35%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aprilia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
PAG
2 - 0
APR
73%
18%
9%
|
19 | 44 | 25 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
APR
3 - 2
USV
60%
22%
18%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2011 |
FCC
1 - 5
APR
38%
24%
38%
|
18 | 15 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
APR
0 - 0
FAN
53%
23%
24%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
MIL
0 - 0
APR
71%
18%
11%
|
19 | 34 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Perugia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
PRG
2 - 1
NEA
71%
19%
10%
|
43 | 27 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
GIU
0 - 1
PRG
16%
25%
59%
|
42 | 24 | 18 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2011 |
PRG
0 - 1
ARZ
67%
20%
12%
|
43 | 32 | 11 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
CAM
1 - 2
PRG
17%
26%
58%
|
44 | 25 | 19 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 2011 |
PRG
2 - 1
PAG
45%
27%
27%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | 0 |