Aprilia vs Ostia Mare analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.9%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.8%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.4%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
48.2%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.6%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.2%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aprilia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2017 |
MON
0 - 1
APR
83%
11%
6%
|
25 | 42 | 17 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
APR
1 - 2
ANZ
53%
22%
25%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2017 |
SFF
1 - 0
APR
70%
17%
13%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
LAN
2 - 1
APR
47%
23%
30%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2017 |
APR
2 - 2
LRO
28%
25%
48%
|
27 | 38 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Ostia Mare
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2017 |
OST
3 - 2
FLA
62%
21%
16%
|
39 | 31 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2017 |
LRO
0 - 1
OST
42%
26%
32%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
LAT
3 - 0
OST
70%
20%
10%
|
39 | 58 | 19 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
OST
1 - 1
UST
81%
13%
7%
|
39 | 20 | 19 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2017 |
OST
1 - 0
SSC
58%
20%
22%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | +1 |