Aprilia vs Nuorese Calcio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.4%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.4%
1-0
8%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.7%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
34.3%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aprilia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2017 |
BUD
0 - 0
APR
36%
26%
39%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2017 |
APR
3 - 2
TRA
28%
23%
50%
|
28 | 41 | 13 | +3 |
| 04 Oct. 2017 |
APR
2 - 2
OST
28%
24%
48%
|
27 | 40 | 13 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2017 |
MON
0 - 1
APR
83%
11%
6%
|
26 | 42 | 16 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
APR
1 - 2
ANZ
53%
22%
25%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Nuorese Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2017 |
NUO
5 - 1
ANZ
58%
23%
19%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2017 |
SAN
1 - 2
NUO
24%
22%
54%
|
34 | 24 | 10 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 2017 |
ULD
2 - 6
NUO
34%
24%
42%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2017 |
NUO
0 - 1
SFF
35%
23%
42%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
FLA
1 - 0
NUO
38%
26%
37%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | -1 |