Aprilia vs Nardò analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.5%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
4%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.3%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.9%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
49.3%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
12.9%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+36%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aprilia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
RPO
2 - 1
APR
74%
15%
11%
|
26 | 37 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
SSE
5 - 1
APR
66%
18%
16%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
APR
1 - 1
GAL
22%
22%
55%
|
27 | 36 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
ACI
1 - 0
APR
49%
25%
26%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
APR
0 - 1
TUR
28%
25%
48%
|
29 | 38 | 9 | -2 |
Matches
Nardò
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
NAR
2 - 1
GAL
47%
24%
28%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
TUR
1 - 3
NAR
57%
24%
19%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | +2 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
NAR
4 - 0
SSE
45%
24%
32%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
TOR
1 - 2
NAR
63%
19%
18%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
NAR
2 - 1
ACI
54%
25%
22%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | +1 |