Aprilia vs Lanusei analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.5%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.6%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.4%
18%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aprilia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2018 |
BUD
1 - 2
APR
31%
25%
44%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2018 |
APR
4 - 2
ALB
20%
23%
57%
|
35 | 46 | 11 | +3 |
| 29 Apr. 2018 |
SAN
4 - 6
APR
24%
22%
54%
|
34 | 23 | 11 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
APR
2 - 1
FLA
49%
23%
28%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2018 |
UST
4 - 3
APR
15%
20%
65%
|
35 | 17 | 18 | -2 |
Matches
Lanusei
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2018 |
ULD
0 - 1
LAN
40%
26%
33%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2018 |
CAS
0 - 0
LAN
24%
22%
55%
|
34 | 22 | 12 | -1 |
| 20 May. 2018 |
LAN
2 - 0
NUO
50%
24%
26%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 May. 2018 |
LAN
2 - 1
ULD
49%
24%
27%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 2018 |
FLA
1 - 0
LAN
47%
25%
28%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | -1 |